Bitcoin Investment Signal Performance

Model: Bitcoin

The signals for our free quantitative asset models are publicly available with a 1 day lag on opening of a trade, though we will share them with you instantly whenever our models close a trade. If you want to see the signals without delay, you can either sign up for a free account, or sign up for a premium account to see additional signals and the full composition of our model portfolio.

MenuRating:

AA 1D ret: +MTD ret: -9.94%Latest signal: LONG (2022-05-28)

Background on the model

Our Bitcoin model incorporates two distinct signals from its own time series: one over a very short time period and one incorporating its longer term trend. It combines these two to determine the most appropriate signal at any point in time. There are periods in a longer term uptrend where things move sideways for a bit and we want to be out, but the model typically turns neutral rather than short in recognition that Bitcoin moves erratically and shorting is often not the right choice. Vice versa in a longer term downtrend we may generally be short but interrupt that for short and violent upbursts. (Date added to LongShortSignal: 2020-01-05).

Latest Views Mentioning Bitcoin

Introducing LSS Crypto Rating Index
Cardano lists on Coinbase Pro
Where next?
Quick crypto market thoughts (8 March 2021)

Perf
Signals

Performance Since Inception

Daily returns YTD

Daily returns over the last 30 days

Date	Return

Monthly historical returns

Date	Asset	Long/short	Long only
2022-06-12	-9.94%	-9.94%	-9.94%
2022-05-31	-18.29%	-7.08%	-1.39%
2022-04-30	-17.75%	-18.11%	-18.11%
2022-03-31	24.84%	24.84%	24.84%
2022-02-28	-0.03%	-7.38%	-4.65%
2022-01-31	-20.07%	-28.09%	-23.46%
2021-12-31	-18.45%	-16.26%	-18.09%
2021-11-30	-7.17%	-11.13%	-11.13%
2021-10-31	48.91%	48.91%	48.91%
2021-09-30	-10.83%	-12.70%	-12.70%
2021-08-31	11.80%	11.80%	11.80%
2021-07-31	16.71%	16.71%	16.71%
2021-06-30	1.46%	-16.79%	-11.05%
2021-05-31	-33.57%	-19.05%	-16.80%
2021-04-30	-9.46%	-15.31%	-15.31%
2021-03-31	26.47%	14.58%	14.58%
2021-02-28	37.39%	37.39%	37.39%
2021-01-31	16.20%	7.80%	7.80%
2020-12-31	58.73%	58.73%	58.73%
2020-11-30	35.37%	35.37%	35.37%
2020-10-31	25.79%	25.79%	25.79%
2020-09-30	-7.51%	-2.52%	-1.75%
2020-08-31	5.86%	5.41%	5.41%
2020-07-31	20.30%	17.20%	18.86%
2020-06-30	0.68%	4.86%	3.50%
2020-05-31	9.48%	1.48%	1.48%
2020-04-30	34.48%	27.74%	31.72%
2020-03-31	-25.13%	22.85%	4.10%
2020-02-29	-8.03%	6.24%	6.24%
2020-01-31	29.98%	13.33%	13.33%

Signals

	Date open	Date closed	Days	Asset	Signal	Return	Result
	2022-05-28	Open	Open	BTC	LONG	-0.8%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $27708.2 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $32339.0 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2022-05-27	2022-05-28	1	BTC	SHORT	+2.1%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $27121.09 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $33598.41 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-05-19	2022-05-27	8	BTC	LONG	+1.6%	Profit
	2022-05-18	2022-05-19	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-5.6%	Loss
	2022-05-17	2022-05-18	1	BTC	SHORT	-1.9%	Loss
	2022-05-16	2022-05-17	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-3.7%	Loss
	2022-05-15	2022-05-16	1	BTC	SHORT	-3.0%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $27630.73 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $43454.17 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-05-14	2022-05-15	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.6%	Profit
	2022-05-12	2022-05-14	2	BTC	SHORT	+1.0%	Profit
	2022-05-11	2022-05-12	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-4.6%	Loss
	2022-05-10	2022-05-11	1	BTC	SHORT	-3.9%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $32971.86 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $43184.84 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-05-09	2022-05-10	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-11.9%	Loss
	2022-04-17	2022-05-09	22	BTC	LONG	-15.5%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $38361.87 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $48966.03 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2022-04-13	2022-04-17	4	BTC	NEUTRAL	+0.5%	Profit
	2022-02-27	2022-04-13	45	BTC	LONG	+2.6%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $36222.61 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $45790.82 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2022-02-26	2022-02-27	1	BTC	SHORT	+0.6%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $36506.55 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $45831.74 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-02-25	2022-02-26	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.0%	Profit
	2022-02-24	2022-02-25	1	BTC	SHORT	-3.4%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $36217.06 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $46258.75 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-31	2022-02-24	24	BTC	LONG	-1.1%	Loss
	2022-01-30	2022-01-31	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-1.4%	Loss
	2022-01-29	2022-01-30	1	BTC	SHORT	-0.5%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $34405.25 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $46043.85 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-28	2022-01-29	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.0%	Profit
	2022-01-27	2022-01-28	1	BTC	SHORT	-2.4%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $34730.9 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $46357.0 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-26	2022-01-27	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-1.1%	Loss
	2022-01-25	2022-01-26	1	BTC	SHORT	-1.0%	Loss
	2022-01-24	2022-01-25	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+1.7%	Profit
	2022-01-23	2022-01-24	1	BTC	SHORT	-1.1%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $36149.2 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $47585.66 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-22	2022-01-23	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-2.6%	Loss
	2022-01-13	2022-01-22	9	BTC	LONG	-17.0%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $39567.55 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $52096.65 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2022-01-12	2022-01-13	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.4%	Profit
	2022-01-11	2022-01-12	1	BTC	SHORT	-2.8%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $39780.28 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $52943.62 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-10	2022-01-11	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-1.0%	Loss
	2022-01-07	2022-01-10	3	BTC	SHORT	+1.7%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $42528.6 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $52333.59 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2022-01-06	2022-01-07	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-1.6%	Loss
	2021-12-15	2022-01-06	22	BTC	LONG	-10.3%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $44285.16 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $60271.31 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-12-14	2021-12-15	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+4.2%	Profit
	2021-12-13	2021-12-14	1	BTC	SHORT	+6.9%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $45460.24 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $61059.19 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-12-12	2021-12-13	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+0.4%	Profit
	2021-12-10	2021-12-12	2	BTC	SHORT	-3.9%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $46858.51 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $62258.44 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-12-09	2021-12-10	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-5.3%	Loss
	2021-12-08	2021-12-09	1	BTC	SHORT	-0.4%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $48723.49 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $62238.99 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-12-07	2021-12-08	1	BTC	LONG	-0.2%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $49352.15 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $62653.95 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-12-06	2021-12-07	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+3.5%	Profit
	2021-11-26	2021-12-06	10	BTC	LONG	-17.7%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $54558.93 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $68716.97 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-11-23	2021-11-26	3	BTC	NEUTRAL	+4.5%	Profit
	2021-09-30	2021-11-23	54	BTC	LONG	+35.7%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $39731.56 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $49383.96 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-09-29	2021-09-30	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.2%	Profit
	2021-06-28	2021-09-29	93	BTC	LONG	+18.7%	Profit
	2021-06-27	2021-06-28	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+6.0%	Profit
	2021-06-26	2021-06-27	1	BTC	SHORT	-2.2%	Loss
	2021-06-25	2021-06-26	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-9.2%	Loss
	2021-06-24	2021-06-25	1	BTC	SHORT	-4.4%	Loss
	2021-06-23	2021-06-24	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+4.8%	Profit
	2021-06-01	2021-06-23	22	BTC	LONG	-14.6%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $30688.13 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $50804.34 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-05-31	2021-06-01	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+6.1%	Profit
	2021-05-30	2021-05-31	1	BTC	SHORT	-5.2%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $28997.19 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $56118.15 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-29	2021-05-30	1	BTC	LONG	-6.6%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $29902.89 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $58438.81 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-05-28	2021-05-29	1	BTC	SHORT	+7.6%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $29844.67 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $60097.23 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-27	2021-05-28	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+0.4%	Profit
	2021-05-26	2021-05-27	1	BTC	SHORT	-2.1%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $30785.62 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $62742.86 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-25	2021-05-26	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-3.1%	Loss
	2021-05-24	2021-05-25	1	BTC	SHORT	-10.5%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $31921.95 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $64482.91 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-23	2021-05-24	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-4.5%	Loss
	2021-05-22	2021-05-23	1	BTC	SHORT	-0.3%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $35430.7 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $65026.34 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-21	2021-05-22	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-9.5%	Loss
	2021-05-17	2021-05-21	4	BTC	SHORT	+10.8%	Profit
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $45213.2 and you could use this as a take profit target. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $62954.61 which you could use as a stop loss level.
	2021-05-16	2021-05-17	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	-3.3%	Loss
	2021-04-28	2021-05-16	18	BTC	LONG	-14.1%	Loss
Current bottom of the daily Bollinger bands sits at $48608.73 and you could use this as a stop loss level. Top of the daily Bollinger bands is at $65382.03 which you could use as a take profit target.
	2021-04-23	2021-04-28	5	BTC	NEUTRAL	+6.9%	Profit
	2021-03-04	2021-04-23	50	BTC	LONG	+1.2%	Profit
	2021-03-01	2021-03-04	3	BTC	NEUTRAL	+10.4%	Profit
	2021-01-30	2021-03-01	30	BTC	LONG	+34.9%	Profit
	2021-01-24	2021-01-30	6	BTC	NEUTRAL	+7.8%	Profit
	2020-09-15	2021-01-24	131	BTC	LONG	+198.6%	Profit
	2020-09-14	2020-09-15	1	BTC	NEUTRAL	+3.8%	Profit
	2020-09-13	2020-09-14	1	BTC	LONG	-1.4%	Loss
	2020-09-12	2020-09-13	1	BTC	SHORT	-0.8%	Loss
	2020-09-09	2020-09-12	3	BTC	NEUTRAL	+2.2%	Profit
	2020-09-07	2020-09-09	2	BTC	LONG	-1.6%	Loss
	2020-08-24	2020-09-07	14	BTC	NEUTRAL	-11.6%	Loss
	2020-07-20	2020-08-24	35	BTC	LONG	+26.8%	Profit
We have a new LONG signal for Bitcoin which closes the previous short for a scratch trade. Bitcoin's supporting quantitative model has been calibrated to capture the majority of market movement within this asset for the past decade. What we are seeing now in this coiling tight range has produced some noisy signals resulting in very minor losses. We are anticipating a larger move soon and we trust our models will be on the right side of that to continue its outperformance.
	2020-07-18	2020-07-20	2	BTC	SHORT	-0.3%	Loss
Our Bitcoin long/short model has delivered a performance of +97% in 2020, compared to 32% on the buy and hold strategy. While the latest LONG signal delivered a -1.2% negative return, in a sense being wrong on the long side is less painful than on the short side as you're just moving along with the market (and not losing money when others are winning). Bitcoin has been moving range bound lately and the +1%, -1% changes make it harder for our models to pick up on a clear direction.
	2020-07-15	2020-07-18	3	BTC	LONG	-1.2%	Loss
Well there you go. Our models closed the previous Bitcoin SHORT call which had been in place for 24 days with a +1% profit as Bitcoin has moved range-bound for a while. We're now shifting back into LONG mode, aligning with many our altcoin models which are currently flagging a similar stance. The Bitcoin signals models keeps up the outperformance of the long/short model at around +65% vs. the underlying on year-to-date basis.
	2020-06-21	2020-07-15	24	BTC	SHORT	+1.0%	Profit
So our Bitcoin signal just flipped to SHORT. This is an awkward one given that another cryptocurrency (Cardano) we cover as part of our premium assets is signalling LONG. Our Bitcoin model depends on a short term model, which had been negative since 8th June, as well as a long term model which just flipped to >25% signalling a negative stance. Things could move either way but it's clear momentum may be shifting.
	2020-06-08	2020-06-21	13	BTC	NEUTRAL	-4.3%	Loss
On 8th of June our Bitcoin signal switched to neutral. The previous signal (long) had returned +3.5% as Bitcoin ranged in the 9000s. What you will typically see with our crypto models is that as assets behave like this (no clear direction), we would rather stay out. Obviously this risks missing out on some erratic +1000 candles, but it also avoids not getting hit by a -1000 candle at a time where the market feels uncertain. Trust our models to pick up on changing momentum pretty swiftly.
	2020-05-28	2020-06-08	11	BTC	LONG	+3.5%	Profit
After riding down the drop from 9900 to 8800, Bitcoin reversed course and our models switched their recommendation from being neutral to going long.
	2020-05-10	2020-05-28	18	BTC	NEUTRAL	+7.9%	Profit
	2020-04-22	2020-05-10	18	BTC	LONG	+23.0%	Profit
	2020-04-12	2020-04-22	10	BTC	SHORT	-2.1%	Loss
	2020-03-21	2020-04-12	22	BTC	LONG	+12.7%	Profit
	2020-03-05	2020-03-21	16	BTC	SHORT	+31.9%	Profit
	2020-02-16	2020-03-05	18	BTC	NEUTRAL	-8.6%	Loss
	2020-01-28	2020-02-16	19	BTC	LONG	+6.2%	Profit
	2020-01-23	2020-01-28	5	BTC	NEUTRAL	+11.3%	Profit
	2020-01-05	2020-01-23	18	BTC	LONG	+13.4%	Profit

Model: Bitcoin

Background on the model

Latest Views Mentioning Bitcoin

Performance Since Inception

Daily returns YTD

Daily returns over the last 30 days

Monthly historical returns

Signals

Why LongShortSignal.com?

Subscription

Contact us

Cardano

Latest Tweets

Disclaimer