Model: US Treasury Bonds

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  Menu 1D ret:  +MTD ret:  -3.73%Latest signal:  LONG (2021-06-02)

Background on the model

US Treasury bonds are bonds issued by the US Department of Treasury. Our US treasury model is calibrated on hypothetically calculated US treasury returns that we derive directly from changes in the US yield curve. We estimate a long duration of approximately 18 years, which makes the model more sensitive to duration impact than the yield/carry effect. The model is calibrated by training it on returns going back decades which have been smoothed over the medium term, and also incorporates signals from other asset classes. (Date added to LongShortSignal: 2019-12-02).

Performance Since Inception

Daily returns YTD



Daily returns over the last 30 days

Date Return



Monthly historical returns

Date Asset Long/short Long only
2022-01-06-3.73%-3.73%-3.73%
2021-12-31-1.13%-1.13%-1.13%
2021-11-301.98%1.98%1.98%
2021-10-29-1.09%-1.09%-1.09%
2021-09-30-3.10%-3.10%-3.10%
2021-08-31-1.48%-1.48%-1.48%
2021-07-304.57%4.57%4.57%
2021-06-302.37%2.11%2.24%
2021-05-310.68%-0.73%0.00%
2021-04-302.17%-2.22%0.00%
2021-03-31-5.78%-0.37%-2.86%
2021-02-26-5.93%-5.93%-5.93%
2021-01-29-2.66%-2.66%-2.66%
2020-12-31-1.28%-1.28%-1.28%
2020-11-300.61%0.61%0.61%
2020-10-30-3.33%-3.33%-3.33%
2020-09-300.41%0.41%0.41%
2020-08-31-3.11%-2.39%-2.74%
2020-07-312.44%2.44%2.44%
2020-06-30-0.14%-0.14%-0.14%
2020-05-29-0.23%-0.23%-0.23%
2020-04-300.52%0.52%0.52%
2020-03-318.11%8.11%8.11%
2020-02-286.70%6.70%6.70%
2020-01-317.75%7.75%7.75%

Signals

Date open Date closed Days Asset Signal Return Result
2021-06-02 Open Open UST LONG -2.4% Loss
2021-03-08 2021-06-02 86 UST SHORT -0.1% Loss
2021-03-05 2021-03-08 3 UST NEUTRAL +0.4% Loss
2020-08-31 2021-03-05 186 UST LONG -15.5% Loss
2020-08-25 2020-08-31 6 UST SHORT +0.4% Profit
   2019-12-19 2020-08-25 250 UST LONG +22.3% Profit
2019-12-02 2019-12-19 17 UST SHORT +1.8% Profit