The signals for our free quantitative asset models are publicly available with a 1 day lag on opening of a trade, though we will share them with you instantly whenever our models close a trade. If you want to see the signals without delay, you can either sign up for a free account, or sign up for a premium account to see additional signals and the full composition of our model portfolio.
US Treasury bonds are bonds issued by the US Department of Treasury. Our US treasury model is calibrated on hypothetically calculated US treasury returns that we derive directly from changes in the US yield curve. We estimate a long duration of approximately 18 years, which makes the model more sensitive to duration impact than the yield/carry effect. The model is calibrated by training it on returns going back decades which have been smoothed over the medium term, and also incorporates signals from other asset classes.
|Date open||Date closed||Days||Asset||Signal||Return||Result|
|Our US Treasury model is a funny one. The underlying market often starts moving early (do fixed income traders understand the economy better?) and when it trends it does so pretty decisively. We have been long US treasuries most of the time since late 2018, and this call in mid December is pretty iconic for how our signals work. They don't get swayed by short term volatility (a move up of 50bps in March in a matter of days doesn't throw it off course) and let you ride out trades.|