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Value at Risk is a standard tool used by banks, asset managers and hedge funds to assess the prevailing level of market risk. It provides a metric that tells you that if you were to invest in an asset today, you would with 99% (or any other degree) confidence not expect to lose more than a certain percentage of your investments over a given timeframe. In the 1% of bad times that are not captured by the model, you could stand to lose even more. Value at Risk can be calculated with varying degrees of sophistication and here we show you a simple parametric VaR model that captures potential losses with 99% certainty over a one month (21 day) time span.
Other risk statistics: 3 month rolling cross asset class correlations