Our recent public signals for SPX (win rate: 85.7%)

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Date open Date closed Days Asset Signal Return Result Perf %
2020-11-02 Open Open SPX LONG +14.3% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
2020-10-28 2020-11-02 5 SPX NEUTRAL +1.2% - 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
2020-10-20 2020-10-28 8 SPX LONG -5.0% Loss 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
2020-09-17 2020-10-20 33 SPX NEUTRAL +2.7% - 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
   2020-07-23 2020-09-17 56 SPX LONG +4.1% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
   2020-07-21 2020-07-23 2 SPX SHORT +0.7% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
   2020-04-13 2020-07-21 99 SPX LONG +18.5% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
2020-02-25 2020-04-13 48 SPX SHORT +11.5% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12
2019-10-23 2020-02-25 125 SPX LONG +4.8% Profit 7.19,-4.01,-4.98,9.59,3.84,1.12

LSS model: S&P500

The S&P500 lists the largest American stocks and covers about 80% of the American stock markets in terms of market cap. Our stocks model uses daily dividend-adjusted prices for the S&P500 as input. This index consists of the 500 largest companies listed on exchanges in the United States. The LSS S&P500 model is calibrated on a history of daily stock prices going back several decades (smoothed out over the medium term) as well as a number of other exogenous risk factors across other asset classes that may impact its behavior.

How to trade

The easiest way to trade the S&P500 is through ETFs like the SPY.

What win rates are expected?

We believe that a win rate above 60-70% is feasible in the longer term. Not every signal is going to beat it out of the ballpark, and the quality and health of all models varies as some have a harder time grasping market dynamics. But systematic implementation of our signals has so far proven to be able to beat the market by a wide margin, offering far better risk-adjusted returns.

When are signals calculated?

The daily signal update completes by 4am UTC, which currently translates to roughly noon in Singapore, midnight in New York, or 5am in London.

Average performance in profit/loss