Our recent public signals for BTC (win rate: 87.5%)

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+ Date open Date closed Days Asset Signal Return Result
 +  2020-06-21 Open Open BTC SHORT 3% Profit
 +  2020-06-08 2020-06-21 13 BTC NEUTRAL -4.3% -
 +  2020-05-28 2020-06-08 11 BTC LONG 3.5% Profit
2020-05-10 2020-05-28 18 BTC NEUTRAL 7.9% -
2020-04-22 2020-05-10 18 BTC LONG 23% Profit
2020-04-12 2020-04-22 10 BTC SHORT -2.1% Loss
2020-03-21 2020-04-12 22 BTC LONG 12.7% Profit
2020-03-05 2020-03-21 16 BTC SHORT 31.9% Profit
2020-02-16 2020-03-05 18 BTC NEUTRAL -8.6% -
2020-01-28 2020-02-16 19 BTC LONG 6.2% Profit
2020-01-23 2020-01-28 5 BTC NEUTRAL 11.3% -
2020-01-05 2020-01-23 18 BTC LONG 13.4% Profit

LSS model: Bitcoin

Our Bitcoin model incorporates two distinct signals from its own time series: one over a very short time period and one incorporating its longer term trend. It combines these two to determine the most appropriate signal at any point in time. There are periods in a longer term uptrend where things move sideways for a bit and we want to be out, but the model typically turns neutral rather than short in recognition that Bitcoin moves erratically and shorting is often not the right choice. Vice versa in a longer term downtrend we may generally be short but interrupt that for short and violent upbursts.

How to trade

The easiest way to trade Bitcoin is through cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance, Huobi or Coinbase.

What win rates are expected?

We believe that a win rate above 60-70% is feasible in the longer term. Not every signal is going to beat it out of the ballpark, and the quality and health of all models varies as some have a harder time grasping market dynamics. But systematic implementation of our signals has so far proven to be able to beat the market by a wide margin, offering far better risk-adjusted returns.

When are signals calculated?

The daily signal update completes by 4am UTC, which currently translates to roughly noon in Singapore, midnight in New York, or 5am in London.